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Expert Review of the CAA Approach to H7 Traffic Forecasting 3
Purpose of this Document
This note discusses the issues faced by the CAA to reach traffic forecast for London Heathrow Airport,
including the methodological reasonableness.
Last updated: 30 June 2022
This submission draws on contributions
principally by the Aviation Policy Group.
2 This the response of the CILT to the CAA’s consultation on Economic Regulation of Heathrow
Airport Limited: response to its request for a covid-19 related RAB adjustment (CAP 1966) opened
on 9 October 2020.
Last updated: 03 November 2021
Virgin Atlantic Airways welcomes the opportunity to respond to the CAA’s consultation CAP1782,
Economic regulation of capacity expansion at Heathrow airport: policy update and consultation,
published in March 2019.
2.
Last updated: 04 November 2021
Paul Smith
Group Director of Consumers and Markets
Civil Aviation Authority
5th Floor,
11 Westferry Circus
Canary Wharf
London
E14 4HD
Sent by email to: paul.smith@caa.co.uk
economicregulation@caa.co.uk
4th March 2021
Dear Paul,
CAP2098 Economic regulation of Heathrow Airport Limited: Response to its request for a
covid-19 related RAB adjustment - Updated consultation
I hope you are well.
Last updated: 03 November 2021
Ref Date Time Location
CCB-016 18/06/18 13.00-14.30 Heathrow Airport Limited The Compass Centre Nelson
Road Hounslow Middlesex TW6 2GW.
1 of 2
CONSUMER CHALLENGE BOARD (CCB)
MONDAY 18 JUNE 2018
13.00 – 14.30 AT HAL COMPASS CENTRE
Minutes
Present Apologies Guests
▪ Jeff Halliwell (JH) - Chair
▪ Isabel Liu (IL)
▪ David Holden (DH)
▪ Claire Whyley (CW)
▪ Jayne Scott (JS)
▪ Trisha McAuley (TM)
▪ Amy Breckell (AB) -
Secretariat
N/A N/A
Summary of Open Board Meeting Actions
Action ID Origin Status Date
Identified
Owner Action
CCB_A025 Board
Meeting
002 In
Progress
10-Jul JH Seek engagement the CAA Board
CCB_A077 Board
meeting
014
Closed 21-May JH Talk to CAA about CCB role’s in
commercial development partners
1.
Last updated: 22 October 2021
Ref Date Time Location
CCB-018 16/07/18 11.30-12.30 Heathrow Airport Limited The Compass Centre Nelson
Road Hounslow Middlesex TW2 2GW
1 of 2
CONSUMER CHALLENGE BOARD (CCB)
MONDAY 16 JULY 2018
10.30 – 11.30 AT HAL COMPASS CENTRE
Minutes
Present Apologies Guests
▪ Jeff Halliwell (JH) - Chair
▪ Isabel Liu (IL)
▪ David Holden (DH)
▪ Claire Whyley (CW)
▪ Jayne Scott (JS) (Dial in)
▪ Trisha McAuley (TM)
▪ Amy Breckell (AB) -
Secretariat
N/A N/A
Summary of Open Board Meeting Actions
Action ID Origin Status Date
Identified
Owner Action
CCB_A025 Board
Meeting
002 In
Progress
10-Jul JH Seek engagement the CAA Board
CCB_A078 Board
Meeting
017 Open 2-Jul ALL Develop a proposal for CCB’s
involvement in constructive
engagement.
Last updated: 22 October 2021
Circa
CAA Civil Aviation Authority
CAGR Compound annual growth rate
CCB Consumer Challenge Board
CCRA Climate Change Risk Assessment
CDG Paris Charles De Gaulle Airport
COVID-19 Coronavirus disease
Consumers Present & future passengers and cargo owners, as defined by HAL
Customers Airlines, as defined by HAL
D&R Drop and ride
DTC Digital travel credentials
EEA European Economic Area
EMA East Midlands Airport
FRA Frankfurt Airport
FX Foreign exchange (currency)
Gen Z Persons born 1997-2012
H7 Price control period: 2022-26
H8 Price control period: 2027-31
HAL Heathrow Airport Limited
HPF Heathrow Passenger Forum
IAG International Airlines Group
IATA International Air Transport Association
IDL International Departures Lounge
km Kilometre
LGW London Gatwick Airport
LHR London Heathrow Airport
m Metre
MAD Madrid Barajas Airport
MAN Manchester Airport
mi Miles
MTI Measures, Targets and Incentives
OBR Outcome based regulation
ONS
Last updated: 30 March 2026
Where
Heathrow is the only London airport offering a comparable direct service, alternatives are
more limited and the scope for extracting scarcity rents is correspondingly greater.
6.
Last updated: 29 July 2026
UK Civil Aviation Authority Official Record Series 6 Part 2, No 178
April 2014 Page 2 of 2
Section 2 Decisions of the Authority
On 8 July 2011, the CAA published in its Official Record Series 6 No 171 a notice of
an investigation to establish whether Heathrow Airport Limited (HAL) was pursuing a
course of conduct described in section 41(3) of the Airports Act 1986.
Last updated: 10 April 2014
Non-confidential version
Rob Toal
Civil Aviation Authority
Westferry Circus
Canary Wharf
London
E14 4HD
By email: economicregulation@caa.co.uk
28 July 2026
Iberia response to CAP3279
Proposal for a 2027 holding price cap for Heathrow Airport Limited
Dear Rob,
This letter sets out Iberia’s response to the Civil Aviation Authority’s (CAA) consultation and
notice under section 22(2) of the Civil Aviation Act 2012 proposing a holding price cap for
Heathrow Airport Limited (HAL) for 2027.
Last updated: 10 September 2026