Final Proposals
Economic regulation of Heathrow Airport Limited: H7 Final Proposals, June 2022
This consultation sets out our Final Proposals for the Heathrow Airport Limited's (HAL) H7 price control review. It includes:
- This Summary document which provides an executive summary of our Final Proposals, and discusses the particular challenges and uncertainties we have carefully considering in setting the H7 price control.
- Section 1 which discusses:
- our passenger forecasts for H7 and our proposed form of regulation for HAL, including our intention to introduce traffic risk sharing arrangements; and
- our proposals for implementing outcome-based regulation (OBR).
- Section 2 which sets out:
- our projections for each of the key price control 'building blocks' (including operating and capital costs, charges for other services and commercial revenues) that have informed our Final Proposals; and
- our proposals for developing stronger capital efficiency incentives;
- Section 3 which describes:
- our views on the WACC, financeability and the price control on airport charges;
- related financial issues of HAL's request for a covid-19 related RAB adjustment, and the treatment of asymmetric risk; and
- how we will modify HAL’s licence to implement our Final Proposals.
- The appendices provide further information on the main issues set out in this consultation.
- We have published the Price Control Model and the Cost of New Debt Indexation Model alongside the Final Proposals.
Final Proposals
- CAP2365A – Summary
- CAP2365B - Section 1: Regulatory framework
- CAP2365C - Section 2: Building blocks
- CAP2365D - Section 3: Financial issues and implementation
- CAP2365E1 - Appendices A-B
- CAP2365E2 - Appendix C
- CAP2365E3 - Appendices D-K
Reports by external consultants
- CAP2366A - Business Travel Trends, Skylark Consulting Group, March 2022
- CAP2366B - H7 Updated Beta Assessment, Flint Global, March 2022
- CAP2366C - OBR Phase 2 Targets Assessment, Arcadis, June 2022
- CAP2366D - Review of the CAA’s Approach to H7 Traffic Forecasting, Skylark Consulting Group, June 2022
- CAP2366E - Review of the CAA’s proposed traffic risk sharing mechanism, Deloitte, June 2022
- CAP2366F – H7 capex plan assessment, Arcadis, June 2022
- CAP2366G – Review of CAA’s capex categories and delivery objectives, Arcadis, June 2022
- CAP2366H – Review of commercial revenues, CEPA, Tailor Airey, June 2022
- CAP2366I - Review of opex, CEPA, Tailor Airey, June 2022
- CAP2366J – Management stretch technical annex, CEPA, Tailor Airey, June 2022
Initial Proposals
CAP2256 Economic regulation of Heathrow Airport Limited: H7 Initial Proposals, October 2021
This consultation sets out our Initial Proposals for the Heathrow Airport Limited's (HAL) H7 price control review. It includes:
- This summary document which discusses our overall approach and the impact of the particularly challenging circumstances created by covid-19 on Heathrow airport, the price control review and these Initial Proposals.
- Section 1 which discusses:
- our proposed approach to the form of regulation for HAL, including our intention to introduce traffic risk sharing arrangements and to set a 5-year price control; and
- our projections for each of the key price control 'building blocks' (including numbers of passengers, costs and commercial revenues) that have informed our Initial Proposals.
- Section 2 which sets out:
- our views on HAL's request for a covid-19 related RAB adjustment, the treatment of asymmetric risk, the WACC, finance ability and our provisional range for the H7 price control on airport charges; and
- Section 3 which describes:
- our proposals for developing stronger capital efficiency incentives and implementing outcome based regulation (OBR); and
- our approach to dealing with airport charges in 2022 noting the particularly difficult and challenging circumstances that have been created by the pandemic and its impact on the CAA's H7 price control timetable.
- The appendices provide further information on the main issues set out in this consultation.
Initial Proposals
- CAP2265A - Overview
- CAP2265B - Section 1: Overall approach and building blocks
- CAP2265C - Section 2: Financial Issues
- CAP2265D - Section 3: Incentives and other issues
- CAP2265E - Appendices
We are also publishing, alongside these Initial Proposals, a number of supporting consultancy studies.
Reports by external consultants
- CAP2266A - Review of H7 Opex and Commercial Revenues: Initial Assessment and Forecasts, CEPA Taylor Airey, October 2021
- CAP2266B - HAL RBP Update: Capex plan Review, Arcadis, October 2021
- CAP2266C - HAL RBP Update: Review of capex categories and delivery objectives, Arcadis, 2021
- CAP2266D - H7 Forecast Review [Passenger Forecasting], Skylark, October 2021
- CAP2266E - Estimating Heathrow's beta post Covid-19, Flint, August, 2021
- CAP2266F - Review of Consumer Acceptability Testing Research, FTI Consulting, October 2021
Responses to the RBP Capital Plan
- AOC LACC Views on the RBP Capital Plan, September 2021
Responses to CAP2265 H7 Price Control
- AOC LACC
- ACI Europe
- Airlines UK
- American Airlines
- BAR UK
- British Airways
- Delta
- Global Infrastructure Investor Association
- Heathrow Airport
- A1. H7 Asset Management and Compliance Programme Appendix
- A2. H7 Security Programme Appendix - Under Review
- A3. H7 T2 Baggage Programme Appendix
- A4. H7 Commercial Revenues Programme Appendix
- A5. H7 Efficient Airport Programme Appendix
- A6. H7 Carbon & Sustainability Programme Appendix
- A7. Stakeholder and IFS Engagement Materials - Commercially Sensitive
- A8. H7 IP Opex Review, Frontier Economics, 2021
- A9. Airport Operating Cost Efficiency Benchmarking, KPMG, 2021 - Under Review
- A10. Additional analysis to support operating cost assumptions - Commercially Sensitive
- A11. H7 IP Commercial Revenue Review, Frontier Economic, 2021
- A12. Commercial Review, Pragma, 2021
- A13. Commercial Review – Peer Review, Pragma 2021
- A14. Changing Retail Spend at UK Airports, Red route / Way Ahead, 2021
- A15. Outlook for Demand – selected date, OC & C 2021
- A16. Recovery of Covid-related losses for Heathrow Airport Limited, KPMG, December 2021 – Under Review
- A17. Cost of Capital Issues for the H7 Price Control, Oxera 2021
- A18. H7 Capital Efficiency, Jacobs, 2021
- A19. H7 initial Proposals on OBR Revenue, Frontier Economics independent review if the CAA’s Initial proposals for OBR, Frontier Economic, 2021
- A20. RBP Update 2
- A21. Passenger priorities post COVID-19, Insites Consulting, 2021
- A22. Service Degradation Research, Incite 2021- Under Review
- A23. Legal Annex – Commercially Sensitive
- Heathrow Area Transport Forum
- Heathrow Strategic Planning Group
- Hilton Garden Inn
- IAG
- Lot Polish Airlines
- Lufthansa Group
- No 3rd Runway Coalition
- Richmond Heathrow Campaign
- Star Alliance
- Transport for London
- United Airlines
- Virgin
Responses to CAP2265 2022 Charges
CAP2275 H7 Initial Proposals Draft Licence Modifications, November 2021
CAP2275 sets out draft modifications to Heathrow Airport Limited's (HAL) licence to show how the CAA proposes to implement the policy proposals in the October 2021 Initial Proposals for HAL's H7 price control review.
The consultation deadline has been extended to close of business on Friday 21 January 2022.
- Letter to stakeholders: Extending the consultation period for the H7 Initial Proposals: CAP2274 (OBR working paper) and CAP2275 (draft licence modifications)
Responses to CAP2275
CAP2274 H7 Initial Proposals - Working paper on outcome based regulation, November 2021
CAP2274 follows on from the October 2021 Initial Proposals consultation and provides further details of the CAA's proposed approach to implementing outcome based regulation (OBR) in the H7 price control for Heathrow Airport Limited (HAL). It sets out the CAA's Initial Proposals on targets, rebates and bonuses and summarises the key proposed changes to HAL's licence.
The consultation deadline has been extended to 12 noon on Tuesday 18 January 2022.
- Letter to stakeholders: Extending the consultation period for the H7 Initial Proposals: CAP2274 (OBR working paper) and CAP2275 (draft licence modifications)
Reports by external consultants
- CAP2274A OBR Targets Assessment, Arcadis, November 2021
Responses to CAP2274
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